The location of the proposed restaurant, within a bowling centre complex, is somewhat unique in that it will draw demand from a very specific source. However, the intent of the proposed restaurant is also to cater to local area demand, generated by area employees for lunches and after-work dinners, and to residents, primarily for dinners and to a lesser degree lunches.
To establish the size of the target market for the restaurant and snack bar, the projected number of bowling patrons and the population of area employees and residents was utilized.
> Total bowling patronage has been estimated at 250,000 people per year in Year 1.
> There are 75,000 residents in Whalley, the community surrounding the subject property, and an estimated 1,000 employees in the nearby industrial park, Revy home retail centre, Home Depot retail centre and other commercial businesses along King George Highway and Scott Road, all within a 1.5 kilometer radius of the subject property. From this, we estimate there are 75,000 potential food and beverage patrons from this market annually, assuming the majority will be employees who work five days a week and will eat out 30% of the time (approximately 1.5 times per week).
The visitor estimates used and the potential number of restaurant and snack bar patrons was developed as summarized in the table below. The figures presented are for Year 1 only; patronage is projected to increase annually, commensurate with growth in the projected number of bowling patrons and increased recognition by the local market.
Market Feasibility Study Pacific Bowling Centers Inc. - January 21, 1999 24
Grant Thornton
SECTION 6.0 : RESTAURANT AND SNACK BAR ANALYSIS (Cont’d)
CONCLUSION
Based on the number of patron visits projected for the proposed restaurant and snack bar, we conclude that the number of seats, as proposed by the developer, is appropriate at 65 seats for the restaurant and at 166 licensed seats in the concourse.
The projected patronage and seating capacity for the restaurant is considered reasonable based on the developer’s intent to operate the restaurant independently. However, should a recognized restaurant franchise be acquired for the property, we project that additional local area demand could be generated. In this case, an increase in seating capacity would also be recommended, likely to between 100 and 120 seats.
Number of Lanes
Lineage / Lanes
Average Price / Game
$3.25
$3.51
$3.72
$3.94
$4.18
Gross Revenue
Bowling
Shoe Rental
Pro Shop
49533.12
52496.64
55601.28
58988.16
Arcade
Vending
32270.4
40958.4
Sports Bar
Restaurant
Snack Bar
Advertising
Lottery Sales
17632.2
20479.2
Total
2266966.72
2393800.64
2549245.28
2685497.76
Cost of Goods
Pro Shop
29811.6
32196.52
34122.82
32140.83
38324.31
Arcade
Vending
21162.24
20479.2
Lottery
15871.68
17344.8
17431.28
Sports Bar
Restaurant
78677.2
Snack Bar
67567.5
52905.6
61437.6
Misc
Total
432822.1
473216.04
477748.82
512932.63
537745.59
Fixed Expenses
Mortgage
Equipment Payments
Rental Payments
Depreciation
Real Estate Taxes
Insurance
Loan Interest
Other Taxes
Miscellaneous
Total
Variable Expenses
Payroll
Federal Tax
Repairs & Maint.
Supplies
Utilities
Telephone
Outside Services & Fees
Promotion
Lottery
Total
Total Costs & Expenses
1786961.7
1759849.8
1795478.7
1740618.8
General & Admin.
Pre-Tax Profit (Loss)
376607.9
514101.8
600459.6
782102.2
Cash Flow Calculation
Profit(Loss) After Tax
376607.9
514101.8
600459.6
782102.2
Less: Special Pymts. (1st Investors)
Plus: Depreciation
247,069
430,872
322,417
244,949
189,615
Net Cash Flow
328,676.90
543,402
571,518.80
580408.60
706,717.20
Cumulative Net Cash Flow
328,676.90
902,078.90
1,473,597.70
2,054,006.30
$2,760,723.50
PROJECT RECAP
CENTER SIZE:24 Lanes
ESTIMATED ANNUAL LINEAGE:10,500 Games Per Lane
ESTIMATED AVERAGE PRICE: $3.00 Per Game
SUPPORT BUSINESS:79.68% Of Bowling
COST OF GOODS SOLD:12.23% Of Gross Revenue
FIXED EXPENSES LESS DEPRECIATION: 2.87% Of Gross Revenue