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Risk assessment matrix

Scenario

This is a proposed airline operation with a commercial twin-engine jet aircraft (e.g. B-737, MD-80, A-320, etc.) at Cuzco International Airport operation.

 

Airport characteristics and operation

· VMC and day-light aircraft operation

· Landing on runway 28 only.

· Take-off on runway 10 only.

· In case of engine fire, engine-out or emergency condition return to airport is mandatory, except if the aircraft’s weight and performance allow the aircraft to comply with obstacle clearance net trajectory.

· Adiabatic wind forces tailwind take offs from approximately 16:00 hours daily.

· No ILS approach is available.

· VOR used for instrument letdown (URCOS) not located at the aerodrome.

2. What is the safety concern?

· Aspects to be considered:

o Aerodrome infrastructure

o Navigational radio aids

o Weather conditions

o Aircraft performance

o Take-off obstacle clearance net path

o En-route obstacle clearance net path (trajectory)

o In-flight procedures

o Documentation

o Training

§ Pilots and cabin crew

§ Flight dispatchers

§ Safety ground crew

Risk assessment matrix

Probability of occurrences
Qualitative definition Meaning Value
Frequent Likely to occur many times (Has occurred frequently)
Occasional Likely to occur some times (Has occurred infrequently)
Remote Unlikely, but possible to occur (Has occurred rarely)
Improbable Very unlikely to occur (Not known has occurred)
Extremely improbable Almost inconceivable that the event will occur

 

 

Severity of occurrences
Aviation definition Meaning Value
Catastrophic · Equipment destroyed · Multiple deaths A
Hazardous · A large reduction in safety margins, physical distress or a workload such that the operators cannot be relied upon to perform their tasks accurately or completely. · Serious injury or death to a number of people. · Major equipment damage B
Major · A significant reduction in safety margins, a reduction in the ability of the operators to cope with adverse operating conditions as a result of increase in workload, or as a result of conditions impairing their efficiency. · Serious incident. · Injury to persons. C
Minor · Nuisance. · Operating limitations. · Use of emergency procedures. · Minor incident. D
Negligible · Little consequences E
Risk probability Risk severity
Catastrophic A Hazardous B Major C Minor D Negligible E
5 – Frequent 5A 5B 5C 5D 5E
4 – Occasional 4A 4B 4C 4D 4E
3 – Remote 3A 3B 3C 3D 3E
2 – Improbable 2A 2B 2C 2D 2E
1 – Extremely improbable 1A 1B 1C 1D 1E
Assessment risk index Suggested criteria
5A, 5B, 5C, 4A, 4B, 4C, 3A Unacceptable under the existing circumstances
5D,5E, 4D, 3B, 3C, 2A, 2B Risk control/mitigation requires management decision
4E, 3D, 2C, 1A, 1B Acceptable after review of the operation
3E, 2D, 2E, 1C, 1D, 1E Acceptable



Group activity

A facilitator will be appointed, who will coordinate the discussion. A summary of the discussion will be written on flip charts, and a member of the group will brief on their findings in a plenary session.

Your task

1. List the generic hazard.

2. Describe the risk(s).

3. Define current measures to reduce risk(s) and risk index.

4. Define further actions to reduce the risk(s) and resulting risk index.

5. Establish individual responsibility to implement the risk mitigation.

6. Complete the attached log (Table).

6. Utilization of the risk control/mitigation log

· From Table – Risk control/mitigation log below is used to provide a record of identified risks and the actions taken by nominated individuals. The record should be retained permanently in order to provide evidence of safety management and to provide a reference for future risk assessments.

· Having identified and ranked the risks, any existing defences against them should be identified. These defences must then be assessed for adequacy. If these are found to be less then adequate, then additional actions will have to be prescribed. All actions must be addressed by a specified individual (usually the line manager responsible) and a target date for completion must be given. The Risk control/mitigation log is not to be cleared until this action is completed.

· An example is given to facilitate the understanding in the use of the table.


TABLE - RISK CONTROL/MITIGATION LOG

Risk reference Generic hazard Risk(s) description Current measures to reduce risk(s) and risk index Further actions to reduce risk(s) and resulting risk index Responsibility  
 
Example OPS/01 Flight operations All weather operations at an aerodrome where one of the two parallel runways is closed due to a construction work.   Aircraft taking off or landing on the closed runway. 1. NOTAM issued by the aerodrome manager to notified users on the construction work on the closed runway. 2. ATIS 3. Aerodrome layout available in the national AIP 4. New signage and lighting 5. Company operations manual 6. Dispatch performance manual 7. Aircraft operating manual 8. Flight crew competency requirements in AWOP. 9. Recurrent training 10. CRM training Risk index: 3A Risk tolerability: Unacceptable under the existing circumstances   1. Ensure that flight dispatchers and operations officers inform flight crew on the risk of taking mistakenly the closed runway. 2. Ensure that flight crew is aware of the current layout of the aerodrome. 3. Issuance of company NOTAM concerning the closed runway and new routing on the movement area. 4. Review of the Low Visibility Operations (LVO) during training sessions. 5. Review procedures in the Company Operations Manual and Route Manual. Risk index: 1A Risk tolerability: Acceptable after review of the operation   1. Director of the operations control centre (OCC) 2. Chief pilot 3. Head of Flight operations engineering 4. Flight training manager 5. Head of Documentation Department
Risk index: Risk tolerability: Risk index: Risk tolerability:    
Risk index: Risk tolerability: Risk index: Risk tolerability:    
Risk index: Risk tolerability: Risk index: Risk tolerability:    
Risk index: Risk tolerability: Risk index: Risk tolerability:    

Date: 2015-12-11; view: 1434


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