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Investments related to the economy of Odessa Region in dynamics, th. USA

Êðà¿íà 2007 ð³ê 2008 ð³ê 2009 ð³ê 2010 ð³ê 2011 ð³ê
(òèñ. äîë. ÑØÀ)
Ðåñïóáë³êà Ìîëäîâà 18316,8 15334,1 15499,4 15697,0
Ðóìóí³ÿ 312,3 1326,7 1883,9 1891,2 2236,1
ÂÑÜÎÃÎ 18629,1 16660,8 17383,3 17588,2 17236,1
             

To calculate the quantitative dependence of the level of economic development of the region of its cross-border cooperation we should use the method of correlation-regression analysis.

To construct the first of correlation-regression model should be used as the dependent variable is the main indicator of development of the regional economy - the gross regional product, and as independent variables - indicators of cross-border cooperation: foreign direct investment from neighboring countries and the export of goods and services to these countries and imports of goods and services from them.

To calculate the inverse relationship, ie, to determine the effect of factors that directly affect the implementation of cross-border cooperation in the economic sphere, it is appropriate to score GRP has as an independent variable along with the rate of foreign direct investment in the region. As the dependent variable supports the export of goods and services of the Odessa region in Romania and the Republic of Moldova.

First equation of correlation-regression model is:

y = 3039,1 +179,5 x1 +2,8 x2-1, 9x3.

The equation shows that the increase of foreign direct investment in the region of $ 1 million. United States, its gross regional product will grow by 179.5 million U.S. dollars at constant values ​​of other indicators of growth in exports of goods and services to Romania and Moldova to $ 1 million. U.S. will boost GRP area of ​​2.8 million. U.S. also in regular values ​​of other independent variables, increased imports of goods and services in the region of $ 1 million. U.S. reduces the gross regional product by 1.9 million. U.S. at constant other factors of influence.

The equation of the second correlation-regression model is:

y = 1151,09 +0,085 x1 +29,21 x2.

Table 6.

The Euroregoin “Lower Danube” economic profile

Region Size: territory and population Economic profile
Odessa Region 33,3 th. sq. km, 2394,7 th. people. - Petrochemical Industry, - Transport, - Agriculture, - Tourism.
Galati County (Romania) 4,6 th. sq. km, 619,55 th. people.. - Metallurgy, - Construction, - Shipbuilding, - Food and light industry, - Transport, - Agriculture, - Fishing.
Tulcea County (Romania) 8,49 th. sq. km, 265,34 th. people. - Agriculture, - Fishing, - Light industry, - Metallurgy, - Transport.
Brejla County (Romania) 4,76 th. sq. km 373,17 th. people. - Agriculture, - Fishing, - Light industry.
Cahul area (Republic of Moldova) 1,5 th. sq. km 119,2 th. people. - Agriculture, - Foods and textiles.
Cantemir area (Republic of Moldova) 0,9 th. sq. km 61,3 th. people. - Agriculture
Euroregion “Lower Danube” 53,55 th. sq. km, 3833,26 th. people. - Agriculture, - Fishing, - Light industry, - Chemical industry, - Construction, - Metallurgy, - Transport.

The equation shows that at constant values ​​of another variable and the growth of gross regional product of the Odessa region of 1 million. U.S. exports of goods and services to Romania and Moldova will increase by 85 thousand dollars, and with increasing amounts invested by one of the countries in the regional economy of funds to $ 1 million .. U.S. exports of goods and services will increase by 29.21 million U.S. dollars.




Date: 2014-12-21; view: 969


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CBC Odessa area is mostly from the border regions of Romania and Moldova in the framework of the "Lower Danube" Euroregion. | As indirect methods of evaluating the effectiveness of cross-border cooperation system was used with four groups of indicators.
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