Igor L. Bashmachnikov Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center
(NERSC), Bergen, Norway/St. Petersburg State University (SpbSU), St. Petersburg Russia.
E-mail: igor.bashmachnikov@horta.uac.pt
Leonid P. Bobylev Nansen International Environmental and Remote
Sensing Centre (NIERSC), St. Petersburg, Russia. E-mail: leonid.bobylev@niersc.spb.ru
Valentina A. Brizgalo Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute (AARI), St.
Petersburg, Russia. E-mail: brizgalo@aari.nw.ru
Vladimir V. Chernook Polar Institute of Fishery and Oceanography
(PINRO), Murmansk, Russia.
E-mail: chernook@pinro.murmansk.ru
Vladimir V. Denisov Murmansk Marine Biological Institute (MMBI),
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Murmansk, Russia.
E-mail: denisov@mmbi.info
Vladislav K. Donchenko Scientific Research Centre for Ecological Safety
(SRCES), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), St. Petersburg, Russia.
E-mail: donchenkovk@mail.ru
Pavel V. Druzhinin Institute of Economics (IE), Karelian Research
Centre (KRC), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Petrozavodsk, Russia.
E-mail: pdruzhinin@mail.ru
Geir Evensen Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center
(NERSC), Bergen, Norway.
E-mail: Geir.Evensen@hydro.com
Nikolai N. Filatov Northern Water Problems Institute (NWPI), Karelian
Research Centre (KRC), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Petrozavodsk, Russia.
E-mail: nfilatov@ nwpi.krc.karelia.ru
Andrei N. Filatov Scientific Research Centre for Ecological Safety
(SRCES), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), St. Petersburg, Russia.
E-mail: an_fil@mail.ru
Jury I. Ingebeikin Institute of Ecological Problems of the North (IEPN),
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Archangelsk, Russia.
E-mail: ocean@pomor.su.ru
Vladimir V. Ivanov Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute (AARI), St.
Petersburg, Russia.
E-mail: ivanov@aari.nw.ru
Ola M. Johannessen Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center
(NERSC)/Mohn-Sverdrup Center for Global Ocean Studies and Operational Oceanography (MSC)/ Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Norway. E-mail: ola.johannessen@nersc.no
Seppo Kaitala Finnish Institute of Marine Research (FIMR),
Helsinki, Finland.
E-mail: seppo.kaitala@fimr.fi
Anton A. Korosov Nansen International Environmental and Remote
Sensing Centre (NIERSC), St. Petersburg, Russia. E-mail: anton.korosov@niersc.spb.ru
Jury V. Krasnov Murmansk Marine Biological Institute (MMBI),
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Murmansk, Russia.
E-mail: krasnov@mmbi.info
Harri Kuosa Finnish Institute of Marine Research (FIMR), Helsinki, Finland. E-mail: kuosa@fimr.fi
Aleksander V. Leonov Institute of Oceanology (IO), Russian Academy of
Aleksander V. Litvinenko Northern Water Problems Institute (NWPI), Karelian
Research Centre (KRC), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Petrozavodsk, Russia.
E-mail: litvinenko@nwpi.krc.karelia.ru
List of contributors xvii
P. R. Makarevich Murmansk Marine Biological Institute (MMBI),
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Murmansk, Russia.
E-mail: makarevich@mmbi.info
Martin W. Miles Bjerknes Center for Climate Research (BCCR),
Bergen, Norway/Environmental Systems Analysis Research Center (ESARC), Boulder, USA.
E-mail: martin.miles@esarc-colorado.org
Vladimir V. Melentyev Nansen International Environmental and Remote
Sensing Centre (NIERSC), St. Petersburg, Russia. E-mail: vladimir.melentyev@niersc.spb.ru
Larisa E. Nazarova Northern Water Problems Institute (NWPI), Karelian
Research Centre (KRC), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Petrozavodsk, Russia.
E-mail: nazarova@nwpi.krc.karelia.ru
Ivan A. Neelov Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute (AARI)/
Nansen International Environmental and Remote Sensing Centre (NIERSC), St. Petersburg, Russia.
E-mail: neelov@aari.nw.ru
Lasse H. Pettersson Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center
(NERSC), Bergen, Norway.
E-mail: lasse.pettersson@nersc.no
Dmitry V. Pozdnyakov Nansen International Environmental and Remote
Sensing Centre (NIERSC), St. Petersburg, Russia. E-mail: dmitry.pozdnyakov@niersc.spb.ru
Viktor V. Rastoskuev Scientific Research Centre for Ecological Safety
(SRCES), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), St. Petersburg, Russia. E-mail: v.rastoskuev@rambler.ru
Jury A. Salo Northern Water Problems Institute (NWPI), Karelian
Research Centre (KRC), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Petrozavodsk, Russia.
E-mail: salo@nwpi.krc.karelia.ru
Oleg P. Savchuk Department of Systems Ecology, University of
Stockholm, Sweden/State Institute of Oceanology (SOI), St. Petersburg, Russia.
E-mail: oleg@system.ecology.su.se
Elena V. Shalina Scientific Research Centre for Ecological Safety
(SRCES), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), St. Petersburg, Russia.
E-mail: v.rastoskuev@rambler.ru
Anatoly A. Shavykin Murmansk Marine Biological Institute (MMBI),
Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Murmansk, Russia.
E-mail: anatoli.shavykin@mail.ru
Tapani Stipa Finnish Institute of Marine Research (FIMR),
Helsinki, Finland.
E-mail: tapani.stipa@fimr.fi
Alexei N. Stuliy Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center
(NERSC), Bergen, Norway.
E-mail: alexei.stuliy@unis.no
Arkady Ju. Terzhevik Northern Water Problems Institute (NWPI), Karelian
Research Centre (KRC), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Petrozavodsk, Russia.
E-mail: ark@nwpi.krc.karelia.ru
Alexey V. Tolstikov Northern Water Problems Institute (NWPI), Karelian
Research Centre (KRC), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Petrozavodsk, Russia.
E-mail: tolstikov@nwpi.krc.karelia.ru
Vladimir A. Volkov Nansen International Environmental and Remote
Sensing Centre (NIERSC), St. Petersburg, Russia. E-mail: vladimir.volkov@niersc.spb.ru
Roman E. Zdorovennov Northern Water Problems Institute (NWPI), Karelian
Research Centre (KRC), Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS), Petrozavodsk, Russia.
E-mail: romga@nwpi.krc.karelia.ru
Acknowledgements
This book has been based primarily on the results obtained during the European Commission (EC) 5th Framework Programme (FP5) INCO-Copernicus project
Sustainable Management of the Marine Ecosystem and Living Resources of the White Sea - WHITESEA (contract no. ICA2-CT-2000-10014). The project was coordinated by Prof. Ola M. Johannessen, with Lasse H. Pettersson as deputy coordinator. The project consortium consisted of the Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center (coordinator), Bergen, Norway; Finnish Institute for Marine Research, Helsinki; Nansen International Environmental and Remote Sensing Centre and Scientific Research Centre for Ecological Safety, Russian Academy of Sciences, St. Petersburg, Russia; Northern Water Problems Institute, Petrozavodsk, Karelia, Russia; and Murmansk Marine Biological Institute, Murmansk, Russia. The above project participants acknowledge the financial support received from the European Commission.
The compilation, writing and editing of the book has also been supported by the EC FP5 EcoMon project (INCO-CT-2004-003605) as well as a Nordic network grant from the Nordic Council of Ministers, administrated through the Research Council of Norway and the Mohn-Sverdrup Center for Global Ocean Studies and Operational Oceanography (MSC) at the Nansen Center in Bergen. Dr. Igor Bashmachnikov acknowledges his NATO Science Grant for his one-year work at NERSC.
Additionally, included are the research results obtained by the Zoological Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, and the Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute and Northern Hydrometeorological Service, Russian Federation, under the program of basic studies launched by the Russian Academy of Sciences and Russian Federation program World Ocean: Seas of the USSR .
The new digitized bathymetric map of the White Sea presented in Chapter 1 has been purchased from TRANSAS (TRANsport SAfety Systems) electronic tech- nologies company, St. Petersburg. The authors of Chapter 3 thank Dr. S. I. Kuzmina
xx Acknowledgements
for kindly providing climate simulation data. The authors of Chapter 7 thank Dr. Sh. Baibusinov, Ms. A. E. Kurilo, and Ms. M. V. Belokozova for the provision of socio-economic data for the region.
The authors also express their gratitude to the crew of the R/V Ecolog of the Northern Water Problem Institute, especially to Mr. V. Kovalenko for the excellent organization of research cruises in the White Sea and to Dr. P. Bojarinov, Mr. A. Mitrochov, and Mr. M. Petrov, who took part in these cruises and processed and analyzed collected in situ data, as well as to Prof. A. Buznikov and Mr. A. Elisov for conducting IR-radiometric measurements on board the R/V Ecolog. Additionally the authors thank Drs. E. Lupyan and A. Mazurov from the Space Research Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences in Moscow for their provision of NOAA data for the White Sea.
The authors extend their gratitude to E. Valikhan and O. Kislova for the translation of parts of the manuscript from Russian to English, to Mr. L .V. Zaitzev, V. Kekkonen, and Ju. Rozanova for their valuable technical assistance, as well as to Mr. I. Yu. Georgievsky for providing photos of the White Sea.
Figures
1.1 Map of the White Sea and adjacent land areas, with reference to the main geographic features . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
1.2 Comparison of the IBCAO and TRANSAS/NIERSC digital bathymetry models for the White Sea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
1.3 Boundaries of the administrative divisions (oblasts and republics) in the White
2.1 Location of industrial activities within the catchment of the White Sea................ 20
2.2 Location of the study areas and duration of observations of river runoff within
the White Sea catchment................................................................................................ 23
2.3 Long-term variability in the river water runoff into the White Sea...................... 24
2.4 Seasonal variations of the river runoff into the White Sea. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
2.5 (a) Interannual and (b) seasonal variations of the freshwater inflow to the White
Sea due to river water inflow and atmospheric precipitaton contribution........... 28
2.6 Location of the hydrochemical observation stations in the rivers of the White
Sea basin performed under the GON.......................................................................... 31
2.7 Interannual variability in the concentrations of mineral forms of nitrogen and phosphorus in the estuaries encompassed by the White Sea........................................................................................................................... 34
2.8 Seasonal variability of concentrations of mineral forms of nitrogen and phosphorus in the estuaries encompassed by the White Sea........................................................................................................................... 35
2.9 Interannual variability of the concentrations of pollutants in the estuaries encompassed by the White Sea 38
2.10 Interannual variability in mean annual amounts (thousand of tons year-1) of
the most abundant pollutants in the river runoff.................................................... 44
2.11 Seasonal variations of the water and chemical runoff as assessed by averaging
the relevant multi-year data for some rivers............................................................ 46
3.1 Locations of the SWS stations: • = hydrological stations; • = weather stations and sites 54
3.2 Annual cycle of sunshine duration at Kem and Louhi stations............................ 59
3.3 Mean annual air temperature at some weather stations in the White Sea catchment 61
3.4 Fluctuations of near-surface air temperature at the Archangelsk station for 176
years of observations...................................................................................................... 62
3.5 Frequency spectrum of near-surface air temperature at the Archangelsk station during 176 years of observations 62
3.6 Variability of the surface water temperature in the White Sea............................ 63
3.7 Variability of the mean annual water surface temperature in both the Barents
Sea and the White Sea.................................................................................................... 64
3.8 Multi-year series of annual atmospheric precipitation at (a) Kolezhma, (b) Zasheyek, and (c) Louhi stations 65
3.9 Annual dynamics of relative air humidity................................................................ 67
3.10 Spatial distribution of mean air temperature in the White Sea region as observed from 1950-1999, and for simulated future options................................................................................................................... 68
3.11 Observed and modeled time series of the water balance elements for north- western Russia. All values are 15-year moving averages............................................................................................................................. 69
3.12 Time series and linear trend of the total runoff into the White Sea between
4.1 Patterns of major currents in the White Sea.............................................................. 78
4.2 Major water circulation patterns as established by Deriugin and Timonov . . . 79
4.3 Water circulation patterns in the White Sea as established from on board the R/
V Ivan Petrov...................................................................................................................... 80
4.4 System of persistent surface currents in the White Sea.......................................... 81
4.5 Types of water masses in the White Sea as they are displayed along the White
Sea transect, and the T -S diagram................................................................................ 83
4.6 Spatial distribution of water surface temperature fields across the White Sea in different seasons: (a) spring, (b) summer, (c) autumn............................................................................................................................... 84
4.7 Distribution of water masses across the White Sea during spring......................... 85
4.8 A vertical profile of water temperature distribution along the Voronka-Gridino transect 86
4.9 Typical stratified vertical distribution of both water temperature and salinity in Kandalakshskiy Bay during summer 89
4.10 Typical mixed distribution of both water temperature and salinity in the shallow
part of Onegskiy Bay during summer........................................................................ 90
4.11 Seasonal location of the boundaries of river plumes.............................................. 92
4.12 Monthly variations of the location of the tidal front in the White Sea............... 93
4.13 Location of stations at which water temperature is routinely measured in the White Sea 98
4.14 Variability of the water surface temperature in the White Sea (1977-1998) . . . 99
4.15 Surface temperature variations in June-July 1991.................................................... 99
4.16 Variability of both the water temperature near the bottom and sea level near the Kuzovskie Islands (12-15 July, 2000) 102
4.17 Frequency spectra of sea level and water surface temperature variability in Kandalakshskiy Bay 106
4.18 Variability of current speed and direction in the estuary of the Kem River at an
6.36 Results of aerial charting of migration of Greenland seal whelps accomplished, on 18 March (a) and 19 March, 2000 (b), respectively. According to these airborne data, the ice conditions during the 1999/2000 winter were favorable for
the reproduction and migration of harp seals. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
6.37 The White Sea Basin as partitioned into five regions: 1. Onezhskiy Bay; 2. Dvinskiy Bay; 3. the Bassein; 4 Mezenskiy Bay; and 5. the Voronka................................................................................................................. 236
6.38 The ice concentrations across the White Sea (observed from satellite) in November, 1978 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
6.39 Mean monthly sea ice concentration in the White Sea in January for each year as derived from employed passive microwave satellite data for the period
6.40 Same as Figure 6.39 but for the mean monthly sea ice concentration in February of each year for the same time period . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
6.41 Variations in ice concentration in the White Sea during the winters of
9.3 Index of water contamination for the White Sea for the 1984-1989 period. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
9.4 Change of water quality in the White Sea for an increase of pollutants average- weighted concentration of 10% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
9.5 Change of water quality in the White Sea for an increase of pollutant average- weighted concentration of 30% . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.1 Correspondence between the water freezing temperature and the temperature of maximum density for the UNESCO-83 and HYCOM equations of state................................................................................................................................... 343
10.2 Normalized histograms for water depth ranges in the NIERSC-TRANSAS
data set and the smoothed data used in the White Sea HYCOM........................... 344
10.3 Contours of the model mesh and depth. Only every second meshline is shown 345
10.4 The surface circulation in the White Sea and the circulation in the White Sea at
a depth of 100 m.............................................................................................................. 349
10.5 Model experiments on horizontal mixing: WH1 (top), WH4 (middle), WH5 (bottom) with the water salinity varying between 22-280 with a 20 interval . 352
10.6 Model experiments on horizontal mixing: WH1 (top), WH7 (middle), WH8 (bottom) with the salinity varying as in Figure 10.5 . 353
10.7 The typical summertime vertical profile of water salinity along the Bassein- Kandalalakshskiy Bay transect 355
10.8 Simulations of the vertical profile of sea temperature along the Bassein- Kandalakshskiy Bay transect in July and February, 1989................................................................................................................................... 356
10.9 Simulations of averaged (over 1989) summertime surface salinity in the White
10.12 Model simulated patterns of currents and surface water salinity in the south- western Gorlo 362
10.13 Simulated circulation of surface water in the White Sea in August and January, 1989 363
10.14 Simulated variability of water temperature and salinity at a station in the Bassein 364
10.15 Simulated mean distribution of seawater temperature in the top 10-m layer for
the summer of 1989......................................................................................................... 365
10.16 The observed mean probability of ice coverage in the White Sea in February
and May............................................................................................................................ 366
10.17 Simulated ice cover extension in the White Sea in 1989 in late February and
early May......................................................................................................................... 367
10.18 The relative sea ice cover extent and the light penetration into the water column without ice cover and with ice cover 370
10.19 Mixed layer depth Mz: simulations vs. observations................................................. 371
10.20 Cone for mixed layer and bottom layer volume calculations.................................. 372
10.21 Ecosystem model for validation............................................................................................... 374
10.22 Content of inorganic nutrients in the mixed layer. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.23 Development of plankton groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.24 Development of detrital forms of nutrients . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.25 Development of inorganic nutrients in the lower layer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.26 Development of inorganic nutrients in the mixed layer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.27 Development of plankton groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.28 Development of detrital forms of nutrients . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.29 Development of inorganic nutrients in the lower layer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.30 Development of inorganic nutrients in the mixed layer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.31 Development of planktonic groups . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.32 Development of detrital forms of nutrients . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.33 Development of inorganic nutrients in the lower layer . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . color
10.34 Nutrient flows resulting from a suite of trophic interactions within the model of
the ecosystem.................................................................................................................. 379
10.35 Model integration with the closed model................................................................ 382
10.36 Model integration with losses.................................................................................... 383
10.37 Model integration with a constant level of nutrient input and sedimentation . 383
10.38 Subdivision of the White Sea into water regions 1-8............................................ 387
10.39 Simulated seasonal variations in the concentaation of phosphorus-containing compounds in the selected aquatic reqions (1-8) of the White Sea.................................................................................................................. 398
10.40
Simulated seasonal variations of concentrations of nitrogen-containing
compounds in aquatic regions (1-8) of the White Sea. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
10.41
Simulated seasonal variations of concentrations of compounds in aquatic
regions (1-8) of the White Sea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
10.42
Simulated seasonal variations in the biomass of various hydrobionts in aquatic
regions (1-8) of the White Sea . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
10.43
Modular structure of the coupled hydrodynamic-biogeochemical model. . . . .
10.44
A generalized scheme of biogeochemical fluxes between the variables
10.71 Five-year averaged (1996-2000) seasonal dynamics of the concentration of dissolved inorganic nitrogen in the White Sea as simulated in the control run, climatic scenario, and anthropogenic impact scenario (3) 439
10.72 Five-year averaged (1996-2000) seasonal dynamics of the concentration of dissolved inorganic phosphorus in the White Sea as simulated in the control
run, climatic scenario, and anthropogenic impact scenario................................. 439
Tables
1.1 Area and population of units in the White Sea watershed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5
2.1 River catchments in the White Sea region..................................................................... 18
2.2 Amount of pollutants brought into the White Sea annually...................................... 21
2.1 River catchment areas in the White Sea region.......................................................... 26
2.4 Basic hydrometeorological variables from the GON (river lowest stations) within the White Sea Basin 32
2.5 Dissolved oxygen, nitrogen, and phosphor-containing compounds in the rivers flowing into the White Sea 33
2.6 Prevailing pollutants identified at the lowest stations on the rivers flowing into
the White Sea basin.......................................................................................................... 37
2.7 Ranges in mean annual amounts of chemical substances in river runoff for the catchment area within the Murmansk region 40
2.8 Ranges in mean annual amounts of chemical substances in the river runoff in
the Republic of Karelia.................................................................................................... 41
2.9 Ranges in mean annual amounts of chemical substances in river runoff in the Archangelsk region 43
2.10 Seasonable variability of nitrogen and phosphorus-containing compounds in
the river outlets into the White Sea.............................................................................. 45
2.11 Quantitative assessment of the spatial variability of the runoff module of most abundant pollutants: coastal zone of the White Sea 48
2.12 Anthropogenically-altered natural background for the major pollutants in
river outlets of the White Sea basin.............................................................................. 50
3.1 Mean wind directions for the White Sea region over the 50oN-70oN latitudinal
zone during the period 1951-2000................................................................................... 57
3.2 Mean monthly and annual wind velocities.................................................................... 58
3.3 Mean monthly and annual air temperature.................................................................. 60
3.4 Statistical characteristics of the surface water temperature (mean daily data) at
some stations........................................................................................................................... 63
3.5 Mean annual and maximum daily rates of precipitation at some stations in the White Sea 66
3.6 Mean monthly precipitation over the west coast of the White Sea...................... 66
3.7 Observed and modeled changes in the mean annual air temperature and water balance elements within the WSC 70
3.8 The mean annual water income from the WSC....................................................... 71
4.1 Monthly mean values of variables characterizing the light climate and water temperature in the White Sea 74
4.2 Observed mean monthly and annual freshwater inflow into the White Sea . . . 86
4.3 Main characteristics of the mean annual water surface temperature in the White
4.4 Linear trend of sea level variations at various stations in the White Sea, and the contribution of different mechanisms to the trend 122
4.5 Mean and maximal heights and periods of negative surges (numerator) and positive surges (denominator) in various regions of the White Sea.................................................................................................................. 137
6.1 Results of the NASA OC4 algorithm application for retrieving the concentrations of chl in case I and II waters (numerical experiments)............................................................................................... 184
6.2 The architecture and respective retrieval errors for a set of built up NNs.......... 188
6.3 Improvement of the CPA retrieval accuracy due to a sequential use of a
rough NN in combinations with specialized NNs.......................................... 191
6.4 Improvement of the tool performance in comparison with the facility of the L-
M procedure per se........................................................................................................ 191
6.5 Admissible errors in the retrieval of chl in case II waters................................... 191
6.6 Concentration ranges for sm and doc given a 10% uniform ,\-independentnoise 192
6.7 Concentration ranges for sm and doc, given a 15% uniform and ,\-independent
6.11 Results of in situ measurements in Onezhskiy Bay, July 2001, surface layer . . 195
6.12 A comparison of water quality variables retrieved for Onezhskiy Bay with the SeaDAS code and the advanced bio-optical algorithm (July, 2001) with respective in situ data................................................ 200
6.13 The comparative characteristics of satellite sensors.............................................. 225
6.14 A summary of trend analyses of changes in the ice concentration in the White